ILXQuant US Causal Profitability Index
Causally-identified profitability factor applying the strict De Prado protocol (López de Prado & Zoonekynd 2024, SSRN 4697929). Three gates applied in sequence: (1) DAG structural exclusion — ROE/ROA/FCF_QUAL/INT_COV excluded as colliders; GPM/EBITDA_EV excluded as mediators; (2) Double Machine Learning on 462,000 stock-quarter observations — only GPA and OP survive (p < 0.05, correct sign); (3) Direction check — both confirmed positive. Selects the top 50 US large and mid-cap stocks by rank(GPA) + rank(OP). Equal-weighted, quarterly rebalanced. Companion index to the ILXQuant US Profitability Factor Index (ILXCLQ), which includes ROE. Sharpe 0.621 since 2004.
- Index identifier
- ILXFCQ
- Category
- Factor
- Universe
- US Large & Mid Cap
- Currency
- USD
- Inception
- 2004-03-01
- Rebalancing
- Quarterly
- Index fee
- 0.60% p.a.
- Reference benchmark
- S&P 500 (SPY)
Performance and risk
All figures below are measured over a trailing window of up to 1,260 trading days (approximately five years), not since index inception.
| Annualised return | +9.36% |
|---|---|
| Sharpe ratio | 0.48 |
| Calmar ratio | 0.30 |
| Volatility | 19.68% |
| Maximum drawdown | -31.41% |
| Return, 1 month | +1.53% |
| Return, 3 months | +6.70% |
| Return, 1 year | +6.83% |
| Return, year to date | +3.41% |
Full performance history, drawdown analysis, rolling risk metrics and portfolio breakdowns for this index are available in the ILX Quant platform.