ILXQuant US Causal Profitability Index

Causally-identified profitability factor applying the strict De Prado protocol (López de Prado & Zoonekynd 2024, SSRN 4697929). Three gates applied in sequence: (1) DAG structural exclusion — ROE/ROA/FCF_QUAL/INT_COV excluded as colliders; GPM/EBITDA_EV excluded as mediators; (2) Double Machine Learning on 462,000 stock-quarter observations — only GPA and OP survive (p < 0.05, correct sign); (3) Direction check — both confirmed positive. Selects the top 50 US large and mid-cap stocks by rank(GPA) + rank(OP). Equal-weighted, quarterly rebalanced. Companion index to the ILXQuant US Profitability Factor Index (ILXCLQ), which includes ROE. Sharpe 0.621 since 2004.

Index identifier
ILXFCQ
Category
Factor
Universe
US Large & Mid Cap
Currency
USD
Inception
2004-03-01
Rebalancing
Quarterly
Index fee
0.60% p.a.
Reference benchmark
S&P 500 (SPY)

Performance and risk

All figures below are measured over a trailing window of up to 1,260 trading days (approximately five years), not since index inception.

Performance and risk — 2021-10-13 to 2026-08-12
Annualised return+9.36%
Sharpe ratio0.48
Calmar ratio0.30
Volatility19.68%
Maximum drawdown-31.41%
Return, 1 month+1.53%
Return, 3 months+6.70%
Return, 1 year+6.83%
Return, year to date+3.41%

Full performance history, drawdown analysis, rolling risk metrics and portfolio breakdowns for this index are available in the ILX Quant platform.